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Goldman Sachs hit with $900m write-off following Northvolt bankruptcy

Goldman Sachs has suffered a significant financial blow, writing off nearly $900 million after the bankruptcy of Northvolt, the Swedish battery manufacturer once considered a cornerstone of Europe’s green energy transition. The Chapter 11 filing of Northvolt shocked industry watchers, particularly given the high expectations surrounding its potential just months ago. Seven months earlier, Goldman Sachs had projected substantial returns on its investment, estimating the company’s valuation could multiply sixfold within a year.

Goldman Sachs, Northvolt’s second-largest shareholder with a 19% stake, has now written off $896 million, spread across several funds viz. West Street Capital Partners VII ($407 million), West Street Capital Partners VIII ($346 million), Horizon Environment and Climate Solutions  ($116 million), and StoneBridge 2020 ($27 million).

Goldman first invested in Northvolt in 2019, leading a $1 billion Series B funding round alongside Volkswagen and other partners. The funds were intended to build Northvolt’s flagship battery production facility in Sweden. However, the company’s financial health deteriorated, culminating in a debt of $5.8 billion and only $30 million in cash at the time of its bankruptcy—insufficient to sustain operations beyond a week.

Northvolt’s CEO, Peter Carlsson, resigned a day after the bankruptcy filing, emphasising the need for continued investment in green energy despite the setback. Goldman Sachs had made multiple attempts to secure bridge financing and restructure Northvolt’s capital, but as a minority shareholder, its influence was limited. The collapse highlights the risks associated with investing in capital-intensive, emerging green technologies.

Northvolt’s largest shareholder, Volkswagen, which holds a 21% stake, is similarly affected. The automaker is owed $355 million through a convertible note, further complicating its ambitious electric vehicle (EV) strategy. Volkswagen had relied heavily on Northvolt to supply batteries for its EV production, and the financial fallout could prompt a reassessment of its investment strategy in battery technology.

The financial loss has drawn scrutiny from analysts and investors, with many questioning Goldman Sachs’ risk assessment and oversight processes. Some investors have expressed dissatisfaction, alleging that Goldman pushed aggressively to back Northvolt despite the company’s visible financial challenges.

In addition to its equity stake, Goldman Sachs’ investment banking division is listed as a creditor, with Northvolt owing $4.78 million. The collapse has also raised concerns for investors linked to Goldman’s 1869 Fund, which holds a 25% commitment to West Street Capital Partners VIII.

Northvolt’s financial collapse was not sudden but the culmination of ongoing production issues at its Swedish factory and overambitious expansion plans in Germany and Canada. Faced with these challenges, the Swedish battery manufacturer entered Chapter 11 bankruptcy and now requires $1-1.2 billion in financing to exit the process by Q1 2025. To date, Northvolt has raised $145 million in cash and received $100 million in support from Scania to navigate bankruptcy proceedings, but this remains far from sufficient to stabilize its operations.

Northvolt’s shift from a symbol of Europe’s energy transition to a cautionary tale underscores the fragility of large-scale green energy projects. The Financial Times reported that the company’s struggles as emblematic of broader risks in scaling capital-intensive green technologies without adequate financial safeguards. The optimism that once surrounded Northvolt has given way to skepticism about the viability of such ambitious ventures.

Reuters reported that Goldman Sachs is set to write off its $896 million investment in Northvolt by year-end, effectively marking a complete devaluation of its stake. The production challenges and funding shortfalls experienced by Northvolt highlight the high stakes for green technology startups attempting to compete in a capital-intensive industry.

Northvolt’s bankruptcy carries significant implications for institutional investors, particularly those exposed to Goldman Sachs’ climate-focused funds, such as Horizon Environment and Climate Solutions. The reputational damage from this substantial write-off is expected to hinder Goldman’s ability to attract investors for similar projects in the future.

Volkswagen, Northvolt’s largest shareholder with a 21% stake, faces a significant setback. Owed $355 million through a convertible note, the automaker may need to reassess its reliance on battery startups for its electric vehicle (EV) strategy. Analysts predict that Volkswagen and other original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) may increasingly partner with established Asian players like CATL and Panasonic to mitigate risk.

Northvolt was once hailed as a flagship of Europe’s green energy strategy, but its financial troubles and overexpansion have cast doubt on the region’s approach to scaling green industrial projects. Policymakers may respond by advocating for more phased funding models with stricter oversight to prevent similar failures in the future.

Northvolt’s bankruptcy has triggered fears of a “clean-tech winter,” as investors grow wary of high-capital, long-payback ventures. Venture capitalists may now prioritize incremental advancements, such as solid-state batteries or recycling technologies, over full-scale manufacturing projects.

The bankruptcy of Northvolt serves as a stark warning of the challenges in scaling green industrial ventures amid rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and operational hurdles. While the collapse dampens short-term enthusiasm for large-scale green tech investments, the long-term demand for sustainable energy solutions remains strong.

The green energy sector is likely to adopt a more cautious and phased approach to scaling, with increased scrutiny on financial sustainability and risk management. Investors and policymakers will need to balance ambition with realistic operational strategies to avoid repeating Northvolt’s fate.

Northvolt’s downfall signals a broader shift in investor attitudes, with a reduced appetite for risk in large-scale ventures. This could reshape market dynamics, prompting more measured investments and partnerships with established players. While the path to a green energy transition remains critical, it may now favor strategic, gradual scaling over ambitious leaps.